Home : Analysis

Analysis


The Sisyphean Surge

Soon, the US could find itself fighting an insurgency on behalf of nobody but themselves, with no elected government and no army or police. In essence, the Iraqi state is already just a rickety "Punch and Judy Show" held up the US Army. Within weeks there could be no state at all.


Al Qaeda's Hidden Weaknesses

Any organisation or group whose vision is preposterous, must also failure to comprehend its adversaries and make strategic and tactical blunders of a fatal character. It must also at some point become racked with internal division. Fighting cult means accepting and understanding that it is one. Its successes so far have been entirely due to the blunders of Western governments. The future depend on skillfully nurturing and manipulating its weakness, and not just trying to smash it over the head with a hammer.


Putin puts in an "Eagle"

The rule of the uni-polar eunuch - a world out of balance and out of control.


Al Qaeda's Hidden Weaknesses

Only with a long term and radical U-turn on policy can the West hope to gradually undermine the roots of fundamentalist, Islamic terror cults and help to save, rather than destroy civilization. Only then will these cults loose their power and mystically disappear into thin air, just as « miraculously » as they seemed to evolve into monsters from « nowhere ».


Will Chavez Inherit Castro's Revolutionary Mantle?

For nearly 50 years, Cuban President Fidel Castro has been Latin America's best-known leftist revolutionary. Who will wear the revolutionary mantle in the post-Castro era? Many analysts believe President Hugo Chavez of Venezuela will pick up Castro's banner, but others question whether Mr. Chavez will ever attain the Cuban leader's international stature.


Western Migration to the East

While the polities of east Europe - let alone central Europe - are the targets of mass immigration from even poorer regions of the earth like India, Bangladesh, Pakistan, Africa and central and east Asia, denizens of deprived members of the former Soviet bloc flock to the greener pastures of the Czech Republic, Poland, Hungary, Russia, Croatia, Greece, Austria and Germany.


US Policy In The Middle East

The American interest in the Middle East began around the mid-1950s. With the weakened French and British influence in this region it was considered highly vulnerable to a Soviet or communist attack.


The European Union Treaty

The new version of Article 115 of the European Unione Treaty, is rather curious. On the one hand, it grants greater power to the Commission, on the other hand, however, the new second paragraph seems to return some powers to the Member States.


Chinese Intervention

The recent campaign of reforms leading up to membership benefited the nation by imposing a stable well-tested set of international norms and rules on the Chinese economy, traditionally subject to the more arbitrary, shifting rules laid down by the party.


Tony Blair - Turkey, EU And Cyprus

The stalling of US and UK ambitions for Turkey to become a member of the EU during December 2006 has presented a challenge for Tony Blair during his sunset period as British Prime Minister.


Negotiating With Basque Terrorists - Yes or No?

Should a government negotiate with terrorists? This has been a debate in Spain for at least the last months.


Bulgaria - The Quiet American

In February 2003, Bulgaria, currently sitting on the Security Council, was one of ten east and southeast European countries - known as the Vilnius Group - to issue a strongly worded statement in support of the United States' attempt to disarm Iraq by military means. This followed a similar, though much milder, earlier statement by eight other European nations, including Hungary, the Czech Republic and Poland, the EU's prospective members in central Europe.


The Road to Sectarian Conflict: Lessons from the Balkans

As sectarian conflict is the most common form of violence that tears states apart, wreaking economic havoc and claiming the lives of civilians and combatants alike, prediction as to the possibility of such conflicts is an essential task for policymakers. Failure to do so can have devastating consequences, as one is witnessing each day in Iraq and Sudan, among other places.


Somalia and the War on Terrorism

Somalia is quickly becoming the next battleground in the war on terrorism. But what can the United States do about it?


Is the Post-Cold War World Safer?

The fall of the Berlin Wall in 1989 marked the beginning of the end to the Cold War, which, by most accounts, made the world safer. But some analysts say lingering Cold War legacies and new threats make today's world just as dangerous.